Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.232483 3.611116 4.021124 4.498874 5.041244 5.638957 6.349072
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.746773 3.263867 3.863766 4.614223 5.532150 6.623727 8.028072
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.401339 2.986873 3.702001 4.645962 5.868515 7.410974 9.524280
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.152397 2.777775 3.574065 4.672468 6.164065 8.141658 10.999853
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.958086 2.607346 3.463949 4.691175 6.427714 8.832403 12.476538
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.758742 2.404944 3.283723 4.584358 6.491507 9.234644 13.569034
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.619022 2.268273 3.176048 4.560572 6.659085 9.786763 14.927858
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.493971 2.139412 3.064823 4.515406 6.781832 10.272564 16.225405
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.445773 2.116724 3.103529 4.694139 7.258037 11.343302 18.582270
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.357795 2.026359 3.031638 4.692004 7.442625 11.958949 20.239862
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.271769 1.931695 2.944421 4.655297 7.562825 12.472992 21.771174
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.148855 1.770325 2.740113 4.409221 7.306299 12.314702 22.058629
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.088418 1.705987 2.688954 4.418607 7.497493 12.972029 23.976540
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.052601 1.678894 2.696237 4.527783 7.874613 14.003008 26.752745
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.005093 1.628757 2.660791 4.558101 8.109750 14.792514 29.148551
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.960911 1.580883 2.625144 4.583897 8.336848 15.587078 31.657356
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.919160 1.534133 2.587639 4.602177 8.549471 16.372403 34.249382
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.861578 1.455917 2.488997 4.497624 8.510568 16.642624 35.730090
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.820979 1.405075 2.435694 4.474340 8.630335 17.250243 38.059453
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.780467 1.351824 2.374324 4.430130 8.702268 17.761727 40.230146
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.772672 1.357593 2.422231 4.605072 9.247408 19.360207 45.280732
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.742018 1.319063 2.384028 4.602982 9.413213 20.128300 48.358894
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.709218 1.274545 2.331458 4.567055 9.501157 20.726042 51.082029